A customer sues for ₦250 million. A factory is to close. A clean-up is required by law. A supplier contract has turned into a loss-maker. In each case a company must decide: put a liability in the statements, mention it only in the notes, or say nothing.
International Accounting Standard (IAS) 37, Provisions, Contingent Liabilities and Contingent Assets, gives a clear set of tests so that companies cannot hide real obligations, and cannot create “cookie jar” provisions to smooth profit.
This topic covers the definitions, the three recognition tests, measurement, the use of provisions, onerous contracts (including leases), future operating losses, restructuring, future repairs, contingent liabilities and assets, and the judgements. The previous topics covered non-current assets. The next topics cover impairment. May 2026 Question 7 tested litigation and an onerous lease, each for 5 marks.
In 30 seconds
A provision is a liability of uncertain timing or amount. Recognise one only if (1) there is a present obligation (legal or constructive) from a past event, (2) an outflow is probable (more likely than not), and (3) a reliable estimate can be made. Measure at the best estimate at the reporting date, discounted if material, using expected value for large populations.
A contingent liability (possible obligation, or a present obligation that is not probable or not measurable) is disclosed, not recognised, unless the chance of outflow is remote. A contingent asset is never recognised and is disclosed only if an inflow is probable. Provide for onerous contracts and for restructuring only when a formal plan has been announced.
Never provide for future operating losses or for future repairs that the entity could avoid. Under International Financial Reporting Standard (IFRS) 16, a lease that has already started is not given an onerous contract provision: the lessee tests the right-of-use asset for impairment.
Key terms in plain English
| Term | What it means |
|---|---|
| Provision | A liability where the timing or amount is uncertain |
| Obligating event | An event that leaves the entity no realistic alternative to settling |
| Constructive obligation | An obligation from the entity’s own actions, such as a public promise, that creates a valid expectation |
| Probable | More likely than not |
| Contingent liability | A possible obligation, or a present obligation not recognised, which is only disclosed |
| Onerous contract | A contract where the unavoidable costs of meeting it exceed the benefits expected |
Syllabus check
IAS 37 is examinable at this level. This topic covers:
- B3(a) and (b) how the timing and measurement of non-financial liabilities affect the statements, and appraising the treatment of provisions, contingent liabilities and contingent assets under IAS 37 and leases under IFRS 16;
- D2(f) and the earlier topic on creative accounting, since provisions are a classic tool of big bath accounting.
CAMA 2020 and provisions
The Companies and Allied Matters Act 2020 (CAMA 2020) sets the statements and the duty to tell the truth about liabilities.
| Section | What it says | Link to IAS 37 |
|---|---|---|
| s. 374(1) | The company keeps accounting records that explain its transactions | Legal advice, probabilities and cost estimates need to be on record |
| s. 377(1) and s. 378 | Directors prepare statements that follow International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) and give a true and fair view | Leaving out a probable, measurable liability, or inventing one, breaches the standard |
| s. 404(7) | The audit committee reviews accounting policies and internal control | It can review litigation and provision estimates |
| s. 406 | It is an offence to mislead the external auditor so the statements are materially misleading | Covers withholding information about claims |
Recognition
A provision is recognised when all three apply:
- the entity has a present obligation, legal or constructive, as a result of a past event;
- it is probable that an outflow of economic benefits will be required to settle it; and
- a reliable estimate can be made of the amount.
If any test fails, no provision is recognised. A provision differs from other liabilities because the timing or amount is uncertain.
Measurement
- Best estimate at the end of the reporting period: the amount the entity would rationally pay to settle or transfer the obligation.
- For a large population of items (such as warranties) use expected value. For a single obligation the most likely outcome is often the best estimate.
- Take account of risks and uncertainties, and of future events where there is sufficient objective evidence.
- If the time value of money is material, use the present value at a pre-tax rate that reflects current market assessments and risks specific to the liability. The unwinding of the discount is a finance cost.
- A reimbursement (for example, insurance) is recognised as a separate asset only when it is virtually certain, at no more than the provision. Do not net it off.
- Review each provision at every reporting date. Use it only for the expenditure it was set up for. If it is too large, release the excess to profit. If it is too small, charge the extra.
Specific situations
Onerous contracts
If the unavoidable costs of meeting a contract exceed the benefits expected, recognise a provision for the present obligation under the contract. The unavoidable cost is the lower of the cost of fulfilling it and any compensation or penalty for not fulfilling it.
Leases. For a lease that has already started, a lessee applying IFRS 16 does not use an onerous contract provision. The lease liability is already on the statement of financial position, and if the premises have no further use and cannot be sub-let, the right-of-use asset is tested for impairment under IAS 36. IAS 37 still applies to leases that have not started and to short-term and low-value leases that are expensed.
Future operating losses
No provision. They come from future events, not a past event.
Restructuring
A provision is recognised only if there is a present obligation: the entity has a detailed formal plan and has raised a valid expectation in those affected by starting to implement it or announcing its main features. The provision covers only direct expenditure arising from the restructuring, not costs of retraining or relocating continuing staff or future operating losses.
Future repairs and major overhauls
No provision for future repairs or replacement parts unless there is an obligation. The entity could avoid the cost by its future actions. Capitalise replacement of a part under IAS 16 and expense routine repairs.
Decommissioning
An obligation to dismantle and restore a site is recognised as a provision, and the cost is added to the asset (IAS 16). The discount unwinds each year.
Contingent liabilities and contingent assets
A contingent liability is (a) a possible obligation from past events, whose existence depends on uncertain future events not wholly in the entity’s control, or (b) a present obligation that is not recognised because an outflow is not probable or the amount cannot be measured reliably. It is disclosed unless the possibility of outflow is remote.
A contingent asset is a possible asset whose existence depends on uncertain future events. It is never recognised. It is disclosed if an inflow is probable. If an inflow is virtually certain, it is no longer contingent and the asset is recognised.
| Likelihood | Liability | Asset |
|---|---|---|
| Virtually certain | Recognise a provision (if reliable estimate) | Recognise the asset |
| Probable (more than 50%) | Recognise a provision (if reliable estimate) | Disclose as a contingent asset |
| Possible but not probable | Disclose a contingent liability | No entry, no note |
| Remote | Nothing | Nothing |
Reassess at each reporting date: provisions may be settled, contingencies may firm up, and items may become remote and drop out.
Areas of judgement
- Whether a present obligation exists.
- Whether an outflow is probable.
- Whether a reliable estimate can be made.
- Whether the restructuring tests are met.
- Whether a loss is a future operating loss or an onerous contract.
- How to measure the provision.
The rules in more depth
Why “past event” matters
Before IAS 37, companies provided for things they merely intended to do, making provisions in good years and releasing them in bad years. A past event test stops that: the obligation must exist at the reporting date regardless of what the company does next.
Why disclosure is the middle step
If a matter is possible but not probable, recognising it would overstate liabilities, and ignoring it would hide a risk. Disclosure tells the reader without recording a number.
Why a contingent asset is treated harder than a contingent liability
Recognising a gain that may never arrive would overstate profit. This is the prudence principle at work.
Why uncertainty about the amount is not a reason to leave out a provision
If an obligation exists and an outflow is probable, a range of outcomes still allows a best estimate. Only in very rare cases can no reliable estimate be made, and then it is a contingent liability.
Worked examples
Example 1: warranty. An entity sells goods with a six-month warranty. If minor defects were found in all goods sold, repairs would cost ₦1 million. If major defects were found in all, ₦4 million. Experience says 75% will have no defects, 20% minor defects and 5% major defects.
- A large population of similar items, so use expected value.
- Expected cost.
(75% × nil) + (20% × ₦1m) + (5% × ₦4m) = ₦0.4 million. - Provide ₦0.4 million.
Example 2: litigation. A customer claims ₦250 million for an injury allegedly caused by the company’s product. The company disputes the claim, blaming the customer’s negligence. The case is undecided at the year end.
- Present obligation from a past event: possible, not yet established.
- On the facts, an outflow is possible but not probable, so no provision.
- Disclose a contingent liability: the nature of the claim, the ₦250 million, and the uncertainties.
- If legal advice says the loss is probable, recognise the best estimate as a provision. If remote, no disclosure.
Example 3: onerous supply contract. A company has a contract to supply goods for ₦8 million. The unavoidable cost of fulfilling it is now ₦11 million. The penalty for cancelling is ₦5 million.
- The contract is onerous: costs exceed benefits.
- Cost of fulfilling the contract.
₦11m − ₦8m = ₦3m net loss.
Cost of exit = ₦5m.
Take the lower. - Provision = ₦3 million.
Example 4: restructuring. On 15 December the board approves a plan to close a factory, and on 20 December announces it to employees and starts to implement it. Redundancy costs are ₦40 million. Year end is 31 December.
- A detailed formal plan exists and a valid expectation has been raised by the announcement before the year end.
- Provision for direct costs = ₦40 million. Retraining of continuing staff and future operating losses are excluded.
- If the board had only approved the plan and not announced or started it, there would be no obligation and no provision.
Example 5: a vacant leased property. Fiwajoye Plc signed a ten-year lease on 1 January 2020 and has no further use for the premises, which it cannot sub-let. The present value of the outstanding payments at 31 December 2024 is ₦22.5 million. Assume the right-of-use asset has a carrying amount of ₦20 million. The figures are illustrative.
- The lease started in 2020, so IFRS 16 applies. The ₦22.5m is already recognised as the lease liability and is not provided for again.
- With no further use or sub-let, the recoverable amount of the right-of-use asset is nil, so there is an impairment loss of ₦20 million in profit or loss (IAS 36).
- The liability stays and is paid in future, with interest accruing.
Note: the Pathfinder solution is slightly different from ours here. The suggested solution to May 2026 Question 7(b) calls the lease an onerous contract and provides for the full ₦22.5 million, debiting profit or loss and crediting a provision. IFRS 16 itself reflects such a lease by impairing the right-of-use asset, because the lease liability is already recognised, so we follow the standard.
In the exam, set out the IFRS 16 treatment, and then say that if the question treats it as an onerous contract the loss equals the unavoidable cost, here ₦22.5 million.
How to score full marks
- Apply the three tests in order and state the answer to each. If one fails, stop and say what follows (contingent liability, disclosure, nothing).
- Use the likelihood table for liabilities and assets.
- For measurement, pick expected value or most likely outcome, and discount if material.
- For restructuring, check formal plan and valid expectation, and list only direct costs.
- For leases, check whether IFRS 16 applies before talking about onerous contracts.
- Link to creative accounting where the question hints at a new manager making large provisions.
Common mistakes in the exam
- Providing for a claim that is only possible.
- Leaving out a provision because the amount is uncertain.
- Providing for future operating losses or for future repairs.
- Providing for a restructuring that is approved but not announced.
- Netting an insurance recovery against the provision, or recognising it before it is virtually certain.
- Recognising a contingent asset.
- Forgetting to discount a long-term provision and unwind the discount.
- Providing again for a lease liability already recognised under IFRS 16.
Quick revision
- Provision tests: present obligation (legal or constructive) from a past event, probable outflow, reliable estimate.
- Measure: best estimate, expected value for populations, present value if material, reimbursement only if virtually certain and shown separately.
- Onerous contract: lower of cost to fulfil and cost to exit. Leases started: impair the right-of-use asset.
- No provision for future operating losses or avoidable future repairs.
- Restructuring: formal plan plus valid expectation. Direct costs only.
- Contingent liability: disclose unless remote. Contingent asset: disclose only if probable.
- CAMA 2020: ss. 374(1), 377(1), 378, 404(7), 406.
Practice questions
These are original questions written in the style of the Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria (ICAN) exam. Try each one before you open the answer. Full model answers follow the written questions.
Recall check: multiple choice
The real ICAN paper has no multiple-choice section. These questions are for quick recall. The written questions that follow are closer to the exam.
Question 1. Which of the following is NOT a test for recognising a provision?
- Present obligation from a past event
- Probable outflow of economic benefits
- Reliable estimate
- The directors intend to spend the money
Show the answer
D. Intention is not an obligation.
Question 2. A contingent liability is:
- Recognised in the statement of financial position
- Disclosed unless the possibility of outflow is remote
- Always ignored
- Always a provision
Show the answer
B. If an outflow becomes probable and measurable, it is recognised.
Question 3. A contingent asset is recognised when:
- It is possible
- It is probable
- Realisation is virtually certain
- The directors agree
Show the answer
C. If merely probable it is disclosed.
Question 4. Provisions for future operating losses are:
- Required
- Prohibited
- Optional
- Disclosed only
Show the answer
B. They arise from future events.
Question 5. A restructuring provision requires:
- A board minute
- A detailed formal plan and a valid expectation raised in those affected
- A profit warning
- Auditor approval
Show the answer
B. Only direct costs are included.
Question 6. For a large population of similar items, a provision is measured using:
- The highest outcome
- Expected value
- The lowest outcome
- Zero
Show the answer
B. For one obligation the most likely outcome may be used.
Question 7. An insurance reimbursement is recognised as an asset only when it is:
- Possible
- Probable
- Virtually certain
- Claimed
Show the answer
C. And it is shown separately, not netted.
Question 8. A contract costs ₦11m to fulfil but earns ₦8m. Cancelling costs ₦5m. The onerous contract provision is:
- ₦3m
- ₦5m
- ₦8m
- ₦11m
Show the answer
A. The lower of the net cost to fulfil (₦3m) and the exit cost (₦5m).
Question 9. For a lease that has already started, a lessee applying IFRS 16 reflects an onerous position by:
- An IAS 37 provision
- Testing the right-of-use asset for impairment under IAS 36
- Ignoring it
- Cancelling the lease
Show the answer
B. The lease liability is already recognised.
Question 10. Which section of CAMA 2020 requires the statements to follow IFRS and give a true and fair view?
- Section 378
- Section 394
- Section 402
- Section 409
Show the answer
A. IAS 37 is part of IFRS.
Written questions
Question 11 (10 marks). (a) State the three conditions for recognising a provision. (3 marks) (b) Explain the measurement principles for provisions. (4 marks) (c) Distinguish contingent liabilities from contingent assets and give the treatment of each. (3 marks)
Question 12 (20 marks). (a) Explain the rules on onerous contracts and restructuring. (6 marks) (b) State the treatment of: a liability with a probable outflow and a reliable estimate; a possible liability; a remote liability; an asset with a probable inflow. (4 marks) (c) An entity sells goods with a warranty. If minor defects were found in all goods repairs would cost ₦1m, and if major defects ₦4m. Experience: 75% no defects, 20% minor, 5% major.
Calculate and explain the provision. (5 marks) (d) A company signed a ten-year lease in 2020 and has no use for the premises, which cannot be sub-let. Explain the treatment under IFRS 16 and the Pathfinder approach. (5 marks)
Question 13 (10 marks). (a) A customer claims ₦250 million for injury allegedly caused by a product. The company disputes the claim and the case is undecided. Advise on the treatment. (5 marks) (b) On 15 December a board approves closing a factory and announces it to employees on 20 December, starting to implement it. Redundancy costs are ₦40 million and the year end is 31 December.
Advise, and say what would change if the plan had been approved but not announced. (5 marks)
Model answers
Show the model answer to Question 11
(a) Conditions (3 marks). A present obligation, legal or constructive, from a past event. (1) A probable outflow of economic benefits. (1) A reliable estimate of the amount. (1)
(b) Measurement (4 marks). Best estimate at the reporting date. (1) Expected value for a large population, most likely outcome for a single item, and allowance for risk and uncertainty. (1.5) Present value if the time value of money is material, at a pre-tax rate, with the unwinding as a finance cost. (1) Review at each reporting date, and release or increase as needed. (0.5)
(c) Contingent items (3 marks). A contingent liability is a possible obligation, or a present obligation not recognised because an outflow is not probable or not measurable, and is disclosed unless remote. (1.5) A contingent asset is a possible asset dependent on uncertain events, never recognised and disclosed only if an inflow is probable. (1.5)
Show the model answer to Question 12
(a) Onerous contracts and restructuring (6 marks). An onerous contract is one where unavoidable costs exceed expected benefits. (1) A provision is made for the lower of the net cost of fulfilling the contract and the cost of exit. (1.5) A restructuring provision requires a present obligation: a detailed formal plan (1) and a valid expectation raised in those affected by starting to implement it or announcing its main features.
(1) Only direct costs are included, not retraining of continuing staff or future operating losses. (1.5)
(b) Treatment (4 marks, 1 each). Probable outflow with a reliable estimate: recognise a provision. Possible liability: disclose a contingent liability. Remote liability: no entry and no disclosure. Probable inflow: disclose a contingent asset, and recognise only if virtually certain.
(c) Warranty (5 marks).
- There is a large population of similar items, so use expected value. (2)
- Expected cost.
(75% × nil) + (20% × ₦1m) + (5% × ₦4m) = ₦0.4m. (2) - Provide ₦0.4m. (1)
(d) Lease (5 marks). The lease has already started, so IFRS 16 applies and the lease liability is already recognised. (2) With no further use and no sub-let, the right-of-use asset is tested for impairment under IAS 36 and written down to its recoverable amount, which may be nil, with the loss in profit or loss.
(2) The Pathfinder solution treats it as an onerous contract and provides for the present value of the outstanding payments, which is the loss if the question is set that way. (1)
Show the model answer to Question 13
(a) Litigation (5 marks). The company disputes the claim and the case is undecided, so an outflow is possible but not probable. (2) No provision is made. (1) A contingent liability is disclosed: the nature of the claim, the ₦250m and the uncertainties. (1) If legal advice says a loss is probable, recognise the best estimate as a provision, and if remote, no disclosure. (1)
(b) Restructuring (5 marks). A detailed formal plan existed and a valid expectation was raised by the announcement and start of implementation before the year end. (2) Provide ₦40m of direct redundancy costs. (2) If the plan had been approved but not announced or started, there would be no present obligation and no provision. (1)
Pathfinder on IAS 37 provisions and contingencies
These are the ICAN Pathfinder questions that test this topic. ICAN owns the questions and the suggested solutions, so we point you to them and do not copy them. Open your Pathfinder, attempt each question under exam conditions, then check your answer against the notes above.
The marking guide gives 1 mark each for facts, standard, application, accounting treatment and conclusion. The solution says that because the company disputes the claim with a credible defence, an outflow is possible but not probable, so no provision is made and a contingent liability is disclosed, with legal advice deciding whether it later becomes probable or remote. Worked example 2 and practice question 13(a) follow that answer.
Revise first: Contingent liabilities and contingent assets
The suggested solution calls the lease an onerous contract and provides for ₦22.5 million. This topic teaches the IFRS 16 position (impair the right-of-use asset because the lease liability is already recognised) and explains how to handle the difference in the exam. See worked example 5 and its note.
Revise first: Worked examples
Source: ICAN Pathfinder, Strategic Business Reporting. Diets covered: May Diet, 2026 and November Diet, 2025.
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